A Flood Warning has been issued for areas along the Lake Erie shoreline, along the Grand River downstream of Dunnville Dam & Port Maitland. Strong southwesterly winds gusting to near 100 km/h will develop suddenly early this evening as a sharp cold front blasts through, causing high waves and hazardous conditions.
This event is particularly a concern due to the snow currently falling and predicted, as well as the cold temperatures. Visibility could be an issue, as well as icy road conditions, plus ice buildup on homes/cottages along the lakeshore.
“Residents should stay indoors and not travel unless absolutely necessary during this winter storm event,” said Haldimand County Fire Chief & Manager of Emergency Services Jason Gallagher. Gallagher noted that the Port Maitland Pier has been closed and members of the public should stay clear of all shoreline areas. Haldimand County Emergency Services & Public Works Operations crews are standing by to implement road closures and respond as necessary.
The MNRF’s surge model forecast for the eastern end of Lake Erie is indicating a rise in levels of 2.34 metres (7.7 feet) above chart datum of 173.5 m IGLD85 at the gauge in Port Colborne. The peak above critical level is forecast to occur around midnight Sunday morning.
The MNRF forecast is predicting the following in the vicinity of Port Maitland:
Lake Erie current elevation at Port Maitland: 174.85 m (IGLD 1985)
Lake Erie estimated to peak at: 175.84 m (IGLD 1985), excluding waves
Lake Erie Expected time of peak: Sunday, January 19 (midnight)
Critical Level: 175.5 m (IGLD 1985)
Forecast (estimated) Peak Lake Level: 0.34 m above the critical level, excluding waves
Area of Impact: Zone 2 flood zone along Lake Erie Shoreline
While some uncertainty remains in the height of the Lake Erie surge, forecasts indicate a risk for flooding along the Lake Erie shoreline and Grand River downstream of Dunnville Dam. Waves of up to 1.8 m are expected to accompany this surge event.
This flood message is in effect until 4:00 p.m. on Sunday, January 19, 2020 and will be updated as needed.
Information related to flooding hazards and emergency preparedness – including 72-hour emergency kit preparation – is available at https://www.haldimandcounty.ca/floods.
Current road closures
– Port Maitland Pier & esplanade closed